We Aren’t at Defcon 1 – FED UP

By David Nelson, CFA The FOMC Team concluded their 2 day meeting yesterday with head coach Yellen taking the podium to answer questions. As I said in yesterday’s blog that if the controversial term “considerable time” remained, the first question in the press conference would focus on that decision. CNBC’s Steve Liesman got the first […]

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Fed Day – It’s Time for a Change

By David Nelson, CFA Investors are lining up on either side of the DMZ choosing sides in the FOMC language debate. The Fed has been giving us signals for months that a change is coming. Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher set the ball in motion in July with his Op-Ed “The Danger of Too Loose […]

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The Surprise of the Year – A Strong U.S. Dollar

By David Nelson, CFA The strength of the U.S. Dollar may end up being the surprise of the year. Ever since the depths of the financial crisis investors feared that the Fed’s loose monetary policy and a $4.3 Trillion Dollar Balance Sheet would eventually decimate the dollar pushing inflation through the roof. So far inflation […]

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The One Word That Matters Most – Redux

By David Nelson, CFA The debate surrounding an inevitable Fed hike has preoccupied investors and those sitting behind the hollowed walls of the Federal Reserve for the last half decade. The pros and cons of Fed policy have been well vetted. The conversation today seems to have finally shifted from “should” they remove accommodation to […]

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“Looking for Love” – Anatomy of an Online Dating Scam!

By David Nelson, CFA “Tell me your secrets.” My heart jumped as I read the first line of her email. We were two souls searching, destined to find each other. She seemed to know everything about me and always knew just what to say. Think about it, it’s the perfect phrase. In the end isn’t […]

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3 Biggest Risks for the Market! – Alpha Select Update

By David Nelson, CFA Alpha Select – August 2014 Update *Alpha Select – August +5.2%  YTD +12.36% **S&P 500 – August +3.8% YTD +9.58% * Net of Fees ** Includes Dividends August erased all of June’s losses pushing markets into record high territory boosting the S&P through another millennium. It feels good, looks good and […]

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Hawks vs Doves – Fed Exit is closer than you think

By David Nelson, CFA Evidence continues to mount supporting my view the Fed is moving to an eventual exit quicker than the street believes. Yesterday’s release of July’s FOMC minutes has to be viewed as hawkish. The only debate is to what degree. I stand by my call that the first hikes will come during […]

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Putin Blinked!

By David Nelson, CFA Geopolitics have kept investors in a defensive posture for most of the year. While the return of U.S. military operations in Iraq will dominate the front page, events in the Ukraine may be of more importance to investors. Journalists have spent much of the year trying to get inside the head […]

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