The Money Runner
The Rule of 72
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Wall Street loves complex theories of why an asset class will outperform or head south. We tear apart income statements, balance sheets and parse every word from the FOMC. We run thousands of back tests on multi-factor quantitative models diving through virtually every data point that relates to a company, commodity, fixed […]
What’s Next?
With stocks and bonds at or close to all-time highs investors want to know $SPY #Economy $TLT
Market MVP Award goes to…
By David Nelson, CFA CMT There’s no other way to put it. 2019 was an extraordinary year some even calling it the GOAT. Sentiment heading into 2020 is a near polar opposite from this time last year. We kicked off 2019 adding to a Christmas eve rally but the sentiment was anything but jubilant. Coming on […]
2020 – The Road Ahead
By David Nelson, CFA CMT After a very strong 2019 and 2020 just around the corner investors want to know if there’s enough fuel for the next leg of the journey. At the tail end of last year investor fear was fueled by a Fed seemingly on automatic pilot determined to normalize rates regardless of […]
Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth
Mike Tyson – “Everyone has plan until they get punched in the mouth” By David Nelson, CFA A punch square in the jaw from Mike Tyson is probably how most traders felt when they rang the closing bell Friday. Down at the open after a better than expected jobs number, good news became bad news […]
How safe is the safe haven trade?
By David Nelson, CFA Stocks ended the shortened holiday week close to the flat line while bonds and gold finished under pressure as investors rotated out of traditional safe haven assets. U.S. yields pushed higher on the heels of a better than expected jobs report coming in at 222k above consensus at 185k. U.S. 10 […]
Is the bull market in gold over?
By David Nelson, CFA Rate hike fears and a strong dollar trashed gold this week driving down the metal and associated ETF’s to the lowest levels since Brexit. The inverse relationship between gold and the dollar is well documented hence the selloff in the yellow metal makes perfect sense in light of a rising dollar […]
Fed Transparency – Clear as Mud
By David Nelson, CFA Even the press are starting to refer to the Fed’s annual trek to Jackson Hole as little more than a circus. (Barron’s: Fed’s Jackson Hole Circus) I said in last week’s post the commentary will be about as clear as mud followed by a parade of Fed officials each expressing their […]
