S&P 500 won’t break out until earnings do – 3 things that could make it happen

By David Nelson, CFA US markets have frustrated both bulls & bears over the last year with the index unable to break out and sustain a path in either direction. However, the chart below confirms the problem started somewhat sooner, half way through 2014. The blended 12 month forward earnings of the S&P 500 (SPY) […]

Read More

2 factors that will make or break the market

By David Nelson, CFA Just 3 months into 2016 and already investors have been forced to deal with a lifetime of emotions. Too often we rationalize our decisions to buy and sell based on a subjective view of the market that can’t help but be influenced by the media and our own fear and greed. There […]

Read More

3 steps to a sustainable bull market

By David Nelson, CFA The financial community struggles to find a market bottom most looking to avoid the embarrassment of a wrong call. It’s lonely out on the edge and even lonelier when you get it wrong. Cramer has his 14 steps to a market bottom, I have mine and I’m sure many of you reading […]

Read More

Big Blues for IBM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_0NuRSEw5M&feature=youtu.be David calls out IBM executives for using stock buybacks to hide the fact that they aren’t growing. Revenue and cash continue to decline while debt climbs.

Read More

The Twelfth Round – Alpha Select November Update

Alpha Select – November 2014 Update *Alpha Select – November +3.00%  YTD +14.51% **S&P 500 – November +2.45% YTD +13.49% * Net of Fees ** Includes Dividends By David Nelson, CFA Nothing short of a December knock out is going to save the Bears this year. With only 3 down months in 2014, the ref’s scorecard has it 8-3 […]

Read More

Buyback / Payback – BNN Interview

http://youtu.be/O3GvfEjV18w If CEO’s continue to pick the low hanging fruit it will be at the expense of R&D and the buildout of factories, service centers and jobs.

Read More

.