You can’t handle the truth – Do the Math on the 2023 Bull Market
By David Nelson, CFA The narrative for 2023 and a bull market that continues to get little respect is that without the support of its $trillion market cap members, most of the market is little more than roadkill. Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN) and its latest addition, Nvidia (NVDA) have put in […]
China U.S. Relations – There’s only one way this ends
By David Nelson, CFA US-China relations are once again center stage, as a congressional hearing Thursday highlighted the deepening concern that China’s reach into our society isn’t only harmful but a threat to national security. Sitting before members of the House, TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew was grilled for hours by both Republicans and Democrats attempting […]
Nothing Changes Market Sentiment Like Price
By David Nelson, CFA Investors have a myopic focus on U.S. stocks sometimes to the exclusion of most other asset classes. The stock centric thinking becomes even more pronounced when the conversation shifts to the mega cap community including Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon. Tech has dominated investor sentiment for the better part of a decade. […]
The Jackson Hole Zoo
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Wall Street has always had a passion for animals. Throughout history market and monetary policy sentiment has been represented by all sorts of creatures including bulls, bears, doves, hawks and of course the dreaded black swan. This year the zoo animals have been particularly active. At the start of the […]
The China Syndrome
By David Nelson, CFA Ukraine – The fight for survival and the horrors of a conflict half a world away hasn’t been lost on equity markets. Stocks were challenged even before the invasion as the Fed was preparing to launch an aggressive policy of raising rates while at the same time reducing a massive balance sheet. […]
The Cost of Freedom
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Half a world away freedom is dying tonight. Ukraine citizens represent what America used to be more than a half century ago. I guess the reckless shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Lviv was my breaking point forcing me into a Network Character Howard Beale moment screaming “I’m […]
2022 KICKOFF!
By David Nelson, CFA CMT 2021 surprised investors delivering a +28.7% return in the face of mounting global and domestic challenges. The more exposure you had to U.S. equity the better the performance. While the broad market provided a relatively smooth ride with low realized volatility, beneath the surface sector and style performance shifts were […]