The Money Runner
You can’t handle the truth – Do the Math on the 2023 Bull Market
By David Nelson, CFA The narrative for 2023 and a bull market that continues to get little respect is that without the support of its $trillion market cap members, most of the market is little more than roadkill. Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN) and its latest addition, Nvidia (NVDA) have put in […]
Shotgun Marriage – UBS Credit Suisse
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Swiss authorities had considered a full nationalization of Credit Suisse Group but it looks like UBS has agreed to an acquisition of the troubled institution at just over $3 billion. Unknown how forceful the persuasive argument was from Swiss authorities but it looks like they will shower UBS with enough […]
The Fed needs a new mandate
By David Nelson, CFA The Fed cannot and will not deliver on the goals laid out by Fed Chair Jay Powell in his opening remarks at Jackson Hole. The long-term target of 2% inflation is not achievable. Monetary policy on its own isn’t enough to bring down inflation expectations and deliver on the Fed’s principal […]
We’re not in Kansas anymore
By David Nelson, CFA Investors entered 2022 with several issues that needed to be resolved. The bubble in non-profitable technology stocks had already started to unwind and inflation was well on its way to becoming a problem not just for investors and the FOMC but for everyday Americans. Add a war breaking out in Ukraine that escalated […]
No Man’s Land – How Far Could Stocks Fall?
By David Nelson, CFA CMT There are no easy answers as to why markets fell apart last week. All the usual suspects had a hand in the carnage. A Fed increasingly behind the curve, inflation expectations rising, a news cycle that gets more frightening by the day and the growing realization that there is payback for […]
The Dot Plots Moved
Post the Fed Minutes the Dot Plots all moved up pointing to March as lift off for Fed Rate Hikes.
When doves turn into hawks
When #Fed doves start to sound like rate hawks it’s a good bet #FOMC is behind the curve. Meanwhile the long end of the curve doesn’t agree $SPY $TLT #economy
