Fed Day – The beginning of the end…
By David Nelson, CFA CMT As strategists, portfolio managers, analysts, or market pundits we tend to hype the importance of events to support a narrative that explains our market outlook. In the last decade it has been hard to write a market piece or research report without some mention of the Federal Reserve and or […]
Iceberg Dead Ahead!
By David Nelson, CFA CMT The iceberg barely visible in my post from last week came into full view following Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the release that followed. If the analyst notes post the decision are any indication it seems Jay Powell and company caught the street by surprise. While the overall hit to the […]
Clock is Ticking
David joins BNN Bloomberg News host John Ehrlichman to weigh in on the latest news driving markets.
Tick Tock Tick Tock…
By David Nelson, CFA CMT On Wednesday last the release of FOMC minutes confirmed what investors and markets already know. The Taper Clock has started and the countdown to an inevitable tightening of monetary policy has begun. The sentence ‘ a number of participants suggested if the economy continued to make rapid progress towards the Committee’s goals, […]
Cracks in the Facade
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Last week may have ended on a high note but visible cracks in the market façade weighed on investor sentiment. Inflation expectations took center stage as both headline CPI and PPI releases came in well above expectations prompting a modest flight from risk assets. Stocks recovered on both Thursday and […]
All Bulled Up
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Markets pushed higher last week but clearly most of the economic data was soft. Jobless claims, Consumer Confidence and CPI all came in short of expectations. Earnings reports continue to be robust and well above estimates, but we’ve seen this movie before. A combination of lowered expectations and analysts behind the curve […]
Communication Breakdown
Get Ready for Communication Breakdown Wednesday! – Wave of Fed Heads set to speak in St. Louis – $SPY $TLT #FED
ATLAS WILL SHRUG – The Fed can’t hold up stocks forever
By David Nelson, CFA, CMT Stocks have made a dramatic recovery since the Christmas Eve low. The recent price action pushing shares up close to 20% begs the question; is there enough fuel to extend the rally? Friday’s volume was well above normal and last week’s strong performance led by Technology comes on the heels […]