Clock is Ticking
David joins BNN Bloomberg News host John Ehrlichman to weigh in on the latest news driving markets.
The Rule of 72
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Wall Street loves complex theories of why an asset class will outperform or head south. We tear apart income statements, balance sheets and parse every word from the FOMC. We run thousands of back tests on multi-factor quantitative models diving through virtually every data point that relates to a company, commodity, fixed […]
2020 – The Road Ahead
By David Nelson, CFA CMT After a very strong 2019 and 2020 just around the corner investors want to know if there’s enough fuel for the next leg of the journey. At the tail end of last year investor fear was fueled by a Fed seemingly on automatic pilot determined to normalize rates regardless of […]
Knocking on Heaven’s Door
By David Nelson, CFA The chart says it all. You can’t get any closer to the resistance line of the S&P 500 without crossing it. For several days, stocks have been threatening to break into the promised land but to date have failed to cross the border. A successful breach doesn’t mean we’re off to […]
How safe is the safe haven trade?
By David Nelson, CFA Stocks ended the shortened holiday week close to the flat line while bonds and gold finished under pressure as investors rotated out of traditional safe haven assets. U.S. yields pushed higher on the heels of a better than expected jobs report coming in at 222k above consensus at 185k. U.S. 10 […]
Is the bull market in gold over?
By David Nelson, CFA Rate hike fears and a strong dollar trashed gold this week driving down the metal and associated ETF’s to the lowest levels since Brexit. The inverse relationship between gold and the dollar is well documented hence the selloff in the yellow metal makes perfect sense in light of a rising dollar […]
I’ve good news & bad news for investors – Which do you want first?
By David Nelson, CFA I’ve got some good news and bad news. The good news is: stocks, bonds and gold exhibited high positive correlation last week all moving higher giving most investors something to cheer about after a rough start to the month. The bad news is: stocks, bonds and gold exhibited high positive correlation […]
Are early signs of inflation signaling a market bottom?
By David Nelson, CFA From the depths of the financial crisis we’ve been told deflation was an enemy that could push world economies to the edge of the abyss. Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke made it his lifelong study and today central banks everywhere follow his path. ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) and quantitative […]