Bear Market – The Day After

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Before we get started put down the knives, get off twitter and take a breath. I’m not calling the end of the bear market. If I could do that with a high degree of accuracy I’d have my jet, wouldn’t even be writing this post and I’d be done staring […]

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The Wild Card – Oil!

By David Nelson, CFA CMT The first half of 2022 left little to cheer about. The bear market at its lows wiped out $10 Trillion in U.S. market cap. The temporary cease fire that drove stocks +4% off the lows didn’t hold as markets gave back about half those gains last week. Year to date, […]

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Down 90%!

By David Nelson, CFA CMT I don’t think there was a single data point on its own that sparked last week’s rally. Just enough stars aligned forcing a rush back into risk assets. In just 4 trading sessions close to half the year-to-date losses were erased. S&P 500 1 Year Data by FactSet Bulls taunted with “I told […]

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When the COWZ come home!

By David Nelson, CFA CMT War in Ukraine continues to take its toll on equity prices and with-it investor sentiment. The missile strike hitting a Ukrainian military base near Poland a NATO ally adds to those concerns. If the conflict were to breach the border even through miscalculation it could trigger article 5 potentially putting […]

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We are at War!

David Nelson, CFA CMT Fears of a coming Fed hike and rising cost of capital hardly seem a worry when Russian troops are firing on a nuclear plant and geopolitical tensions rival those of the Cuban Missile Crisis. Like it or not we are at war. The broad-based sanctions including the denial of Russia to access its […]

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The Cost of Freedom

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Half a world away freedom is dying tonight. Ukraine citizens represent what America used to be more than a half century ago. I guess the reckless shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Lviv was my breaking point forcing me into a Network Character Howard Beale moment screaming “I’m […]

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Blood & Oil

Every drop of Russian Oil helps pay for the invasion. The achilles heel of sanctions is that it takes too much time. What’s next for the ordinary Russian citizen. Last night on CTV News.

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Tail Risk

Even more embarrassing would be…

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