I’m getting worried because I’m running out of things to worry about
By David Nelson, CFA “Markets climb a wall of worry.” It’s a phrase used to describe market rallies in the face of rising investor concern. Wall Street and the media have hundreds of these phrases to put into a few words complex interrelationships that ask the near impossible of investors. Make a binary decision based […]
Where are the bears?
By David Nelson, CFA The battle between Bulls & Bears was raging long before the Buttonwood Agreement was signed by 24 brokers in 1792 looking to establish a commission rate to charge clients. Some consider the event the early beginnings of the New York Stock Exchange. Most investors know the long term prevailing trend for […]
What CEOs will do with the cash – You’re not going to like it
By David Nelson, CFA While it may feel like the Trump Rally has exploded out of control we’re still at levels we’ve been flirting with since the dog days of summer. The S&P 500 (SPY) is up a little less than 2% from Election Day. The real story has been the rotation in and out […]
In a New York Minute
By David Nelson, CFA In a New York Minute Everything can change – Don Henley Don Henley’s lyrics from his popular hit song New York Minute sum up a volatile week that pushed some trades back in the green while others were thrown out in the trash. Donald Trump’s victory election night stunned the world […]
SPY: The other side of Armageddon
By David Nelson With angst over the election rising its not surprising markets have struggled for the last several weeks. Friday’s close slightly in the red gave us 9 straight days to the downside an event not seen since 1980. The media blitz adds to the drama painting Tuesday as an apocalyptic event. While it’s […]
I’ve good news & bad news for investors – Which do you want first?
By David Nelson, CFA I’ve got some good news and bad news. The good news is: stocks, bonds and gold exhibited high positive correlation last week all moving higher giving most investors something to cheer about after a rough start to the month. The bad news is: stocks, bonds and gold exhibited high positive correlation […]
Consumer Staples, Utilities & Bonds – Is it Safe?
By David Nelson, CFA U.S. Stocks have paid off handsomely over the last 5 years but it’s been the perceived safe haven trade that has captured the hearts and minds of investors. Utilities (XLU), Telecoms (XTL), Consumer Staples (XLP), Treasuries (TLT) and all manner of fixed income have been the go to investments especially for […]
Is the VIX flashing Warning or All Clear?
By David Nelson, CFA Geopolitical turmoil has had little effect this year as traders have used any sell off to increase market exposure. The good news is the market seems to be able to push higher and sustain altitude even while in overbought territory. The bad news is complacency is high with the (VIX) SPX Options […]